Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.6% vs Bozak 53.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 61.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Backlund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Bozak
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (884)
55.4% (719)
-6.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
45.1% (51)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (86)
50.0% (60)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backlund is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Backlund shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bozak
Home
49.3% (531)
55.5% (443)
Away
49.8% (500)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Backlund
Bozak
P1
47.1%
53.3%
P2
53.7%
54.7%
P3
47.8%
55.4%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |