Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Backlund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Backlund
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
46.7% (338)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
50.0% (6)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
32.6% (43)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bozak
Home
51.6% (653)
47.9% (194)
Away
49.3% (576)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Backlund
Bozak
P1
50.0%
40.2%
P2
49.8%
51.4%
P3
51.7%
43.1%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |