Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Backlund wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.6% vs Bozak 54.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 71.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Backlund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Backlund
Bozak
Last 10: Backlund 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Backlund
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Backlund
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Backlund
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (630)
57.3% (483)
-10.0%
Power Play
48.5% (66)
57.5% (73)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
42.3% (104)
+4.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backlund is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bozak
Home
50.4% (347)
57.8% (332)
Away
44.8% (431)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Backlund
Bozak
P1
46.7%
52.7%
P2
44.9%
55.6%
P3
49.8%
56.7%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2020 | OT | 01:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |