Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Backlund
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
58.5% (135)
-8.4%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
80.0% (5)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
44.4% (18)
+3.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
48.1% (580)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.1% (653)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
45.1%
54.4%
P2
54.7%
66.7%
P3
49.0%
51.9%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |