Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 60-49 in 109 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
60
(109 meetings)
49
60
Backlund
Karlsson
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
11
24
Backlund
Karlsson
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
24
20
Backlund
Karlsson
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
14
16
Backlund
Karlsson
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
51.8% (7,849)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
54.8% (1,048)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
44.2% (1,109)
-0.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
49.7% (8,565)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
50.3%
P2
50.3%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
52.4%
OT
44.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |