Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Granlund 49.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 76.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 81.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Bedard
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bedard
Granlund
Last 7: Bedard 5-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
2
Bedard
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
49.5% (588)
-11.5%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
60.5% (43)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.2% (93)
+11.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Bedard
Granlund
Home
40.5% (316)
54.8% (305)
Away
36.2% (340)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Bedard
Granlund
P1
37.2%
43.8%
P2
36.9%
51.2%
P3
40.7%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |