Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Granlund 48.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 69.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 54.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Granlund
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Lazar
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
47.8% (959)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
54.7% (95)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
58.1% (31)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lazar
Granlund
Home
45.0% (202)
50.5% (548)
Away
42.3% (182)
46.7% (537)
By Period
Lazar
Granlund
P1
45.5%
51.1%
P2
43.0%
49.1%
P3
42.1%
46.6%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
43.8%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |