Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Granlund 49.6% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 73.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 69.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Carlsson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Carlsson
Granlund
Last 6: Carlsson 1-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Carlsson
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Carlsson
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
49.5% (588)
-7.7%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
60.5% (43)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
45.2% (93)
-6.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Granlund
Home
44.5% (362)
54.8% (305)
Away
38.3% (368)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Carlsson
Granlund
P1
46.3%
43.8%
P2
35.1%
51.2%
P3
43.9%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |