Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 51.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Granlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Granlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Granlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
46.7% (398)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
51.6% (31)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
62.5% (8)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Granlund shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Granlund
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (305)
47.3% (220)
Away
45.8% (419)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Granlund
Bjugstad
P1
43.8%
46.1%
P2
51.2%
46.3%
P3
53.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |