Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 82.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 68.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 60.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Granlund
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Granlund
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Granlund
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
53.4% (249)
-6.7%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
53.2% (154)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
40.6% (32)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Granlund shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Granlund
Foligno
Home
51.1% (495)
57.3% (225)
Away
42.9% (557)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Granlund
Foligno
P1
49.9%
53.0%
P2
46.4%
51.8%
P3
44.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |