Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Cates 45.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 79.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 74.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Granlund
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
45.4% (712)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
42.2% (102)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
44.7% (47)
-13.6%
On power play, Granlund has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
53.3% (255)
46.3% (423)
Away
44.4% (351)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
51.3%
46.3%
P2
48.8%
47.1%
P3
44.4%
42.1%
OT
55.6%
18.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |