Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Cates 45.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 59.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Granlund
Cates
Last 5: Granlund 2-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
3
Granlund
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
46.7% (912)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
33.9% (56)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
35.0% (137)
+10.2%
On power play, Granlund has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
54.8% (305)
46.1% (521)
Away
45.8% (419)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
43.8%
48.0%
P2
51.2%
42.3%
P3
53.9%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |