Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Granlund wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 54.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 60.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Granlund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Granlund
Seguin
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Granlund
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Granlund
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
55.0% (713)
-8.2%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
56.7% (104)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
47.2% (53)
-10.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Granlund shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Granlund
Seguin
Home
47.8% (178)
56.2% (443)
Away
41.7% (206)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Granlund
Seguin
P1
44.7%
54.2%
P2
42.9%
52.9%
P3
45.7%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |