Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 93.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 60.9%
Neutral zone
Fisher 73.4%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Fisher
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Fisher
Gaustad
Last 10: Fisher 0-10 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fisher
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
10
Fisher
Gaustad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Fisher
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
65.4% (188)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Fisher
Gaustad
Home
52.4% (4,113)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Fisher
Gaustad
P1
49.6%
58.2%
P2
52.8%
56.4%
P3
52.2%
58.3%
OT
49.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |