Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 48.4% vs Stastny 53.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Fisher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fisher
Stastny
Last 9: Fisher 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
5
1
Fisher
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Fisher
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fisher
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (939)
52.2% (1,107)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (178)
61.0% (254)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
46.4% (138)
+1.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Fisher is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Fisher shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Fisher
Stastny
Home
50.6% (693)
52.5% (785)
Away
45.4% (553)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Fisher
Stastny
P1
48.9%
51.3%
P2
47.2%
55.2%
P3
49.3%
52.6%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |