Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 51 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 79-62 in 141 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 58.0%
Defensive zone
Fisher 62.6%
Neutral zone
Fisher 59.5%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Fisher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
79
(141 meetings)
62
79
Fisher
Stastny
Last 10: Fisher 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
21
17
Fisher
Stastny
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
21
31
Fisher
Stastny
52 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
31
Fisher
Stastny
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Fisher
Stastny
Home
52.4% (4,113)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Fisher
Stastny
P1
49.6%
56.3%
P2
52.8%
55.4%
P3
52.2%
53.5%
OT
49.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |