Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fisher wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 52.1% vs Stastny 57.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 79.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 71.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Fisher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Fisher
Stastny
Last 10: Fisher 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
1
Fisher
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Fisher
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
1
Fisher
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (845)
57.6% (959)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.3% (210)
60.8% (125)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (94)
58.1% (74)
-4.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Fisher shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Fisher
Stastny
Home
54.4% (572)
55.9% (590)
Away
50.3% (577)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Fisher
Stastny
P1
50.4%
59.6%
P2
52.8%
59.0%
P3
53.6%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |