Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Fisher wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 54.6% vs Kesler 57.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 62.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Fisher
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Fisher
Kesler
Last 10: Fisher 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
5
1
Fisher
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
5
3
Fisher
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Fisher
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (908)
57.6% (1,225)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.8% (189)
63.5% (263)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (183)
51.5% (305)
-1.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Fisher shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Fisher
Kesler
Home
54.3% (661)
59.1% (881)
Away
55.6% (619)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Fisher
Kesler
P1
50.1%
56.6%
P2
57.7%
58.2%
P3
56.0%
57.5%
OT
61.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |