Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 66-50 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 62.7%
Defensive zone
Fisher 71.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 67.4%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Fisher
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
66
(116 meetings)
50
66
Fisher
Kesler
Last 10: Fisher 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
21
24
Fisher
Kesler
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
20
Fisher
Kesler
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
16
22
Fisher
Kesler
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
50.5% (1,908)
-1.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Fisher shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Fisher
Kesler
Home
52.4% (4,113)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Fisher
Kesler
P1
49.6%
56.5%
P2
52.8%
55.9%
P3
52.2%
56.1%
OT
49.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |