Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Fisher wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 52.1% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 27-11 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 65.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Fisher 55.0%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Fisher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
27
(38 meetings)
11
27
Fisher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Fisher 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Fisher
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
13
Fisher
O'Reilly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Fisher
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (845)
52.7% (900)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.3% (210)
55.6% (225)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (94)
54.5% (209)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Fisher shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Fisher
O'Reilly
Home
54.4% (572)
55.1% (693)
Away
50.3% (577)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Fisher
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
54.7%
P3
53.6%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |