Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 80-54 in 134 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 79.9%
Defensive zone
Fisher 78.4%
Neutral zone
Fisher 76.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Fisher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
80
(134 meetings)
54
80
Fisher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Fisher 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
24
24
Fisher
O'Reilly
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
34
Fisher
O'Reilly
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
22
Fisher
O'Reilly
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
51.4% (2,811)
-2.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Fisher
O'Reilly
Home
52.4% (4,113)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Fisher
O'Reilly
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
52.2%
55.1%
OT
49.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |