Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fisher wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 55.3% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.8%
Defensive zone
Fisher 50.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Fisher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Fisher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Fisher 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
0
Fisher
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Fisher
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
1
Fisher
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (158)
60.3% (1,517)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.5% (387)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
55.0% (220)
+1.0%
On power play, Fisher has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Fisher is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Fisher shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Fisher
O'Reilly
Home
52.8% (89)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
63.2% (95)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Fisher
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
56.8%
P2
64.2%
64.6%
P3
65.5%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
68.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |