Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 61.0%
Defensive zone
Fisher 79.2%
Neutral zone
Fisher 79.1%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Fisher
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Fisher
Connolly
Last 10: Fisher 6-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Fisher
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
4
3
Fisher
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
6
2
Fisher
Connolly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
47.4% (1,307)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
50.2% (251)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
41.9% (186)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Fisher shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Fisher
Connolly
Home
52.4% (4,113)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Fisher
Connolly
P1
49.6%
47.4%
P2
52.8%
47.7%
P3
52.2%
47.0%
OT
49.6%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |