Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.5%). Hoffman wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hoffman 50.0% vs Frost 50.5% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Hoffman 56.7%
Defensive zone
Frost 62.2%
Neutral zone
Hoffman 50.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hoffman
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hoffman
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (204)
49.6% (3,642)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
55.5% (631)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
55.0% (40)
+45.0%
On penalty kill, Hoffman has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Hoffman is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Hoffman shoots left. Frost is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,832).
Home / Away
Hoffman
Frost
Home
57.0% (121)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
43.2% (125)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Hoffman
Frost
P1
52.2%
51.1%
P2
44.7%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
48.7%
OT
70.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hoffman
40.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%