Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Ribeiro 43.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 87.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.2%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 68.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Eller
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Ribeiro
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
Eller
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
Eller
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
42.7% (1,121)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
46.2% (221)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Eller shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Eller
Ribeiro
Home
54.6% (383)
44.9% (710)
Away
48.9% (401)
41.2% (638)
By Period
Eller
Ribeiro
P1
53.8%
43.8%
P2
52.5%
44.6%
P3
48.6%
40.3%
OT
55.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |