Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 96.2%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 85.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 92.3%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Ribeiro
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Ribeiro
Thompson
Last 10: Ribeiro 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
4
1
Ribeiro
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
11
Ribeiro
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Ribeiro
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
54.1% (5,812)
-11.2%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
54.8% (135)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
47.9% (1,381)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Thompson
Home
44.1% (3,144)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Ribeiro
Thompson
P1
42.6%
53.2%
P2
44.3%
52.9%
P3
41.8%
52.8%
OT
49.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |