Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 39.3% vs Stastny 55.6% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 97.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 89.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Ribeiro
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Ribeiro
Stastny
Last 9: Ribeiro 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
0
Ribeiro
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Ribeiro
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (650)
56.5% (967)
-18.7%
Power Play
38.9% (108)
58.4% (125)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.8% (128)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Ribeiro shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Stastny
Home
37.9% (417)
56.8% (590)
Away
37.9% (343)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Ribeiro
Stastny
P1
38.3%
59.7%
P2
38.8%
54.8%
P3
36.4%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
33.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |