Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 73.5%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 50.0%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 73.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Ribeiro
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
28
(51 meetings)
23
28
Ribeiro
Stastny
Last 10: Ribeiro 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
9
4
Ribeiro
Stastny
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
9
Ribeiro
Stastny
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
15
Ribeiro
Stastny
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
54.6% (10,616)
-11.7%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
59.1% (1,994)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Stastny
Home
44.1% (3,144)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Ribeiro
Stastny
P1
42.6%
56.3%
P2
44.3%
55.4%
P3
41.8%
53.5%
OT
49.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |