Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 42.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 73.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 81.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Ribeiro
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ribeiro
Stastny
Last 6: Ribeiro 3-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Ribeiro
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (375)
55.4% (1,004)
-14.3%
Power Play
41.8% (67)
59.0% (210)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.1% (196)
-4.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ribeiro is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Ribeiro shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Stastny
Home
38.7% (230)
56.5% (717)
Away
43.9% (214)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Ribeiro
Stastny
P1
41.6%
56.7%
P2
45.5%
57.7%
P3
36.9%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |