Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Varone 47.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 54.4%
Defensive zone
Varone 82.7%
Neutral zone
Varone 68.8%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Ribeiro
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Ribeiro
Varone
Last 8: Ribeiro 6-2 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
0
Ribeiro
Varone
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ribeiro
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
47.5% (575)
-4.6%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
38.5% (13)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Varone has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Varone
Home
44.1% (3,144)
48.0% (221)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Ribeiro
Varone
P1
42.6%
50.0%
P2
44.3%
42.7%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |