Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Umberger 50.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 69.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 83.5%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 71.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Ribeiro
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Ribeiro
Umberger
Last 7: Ribeiro 1-6 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
4
Ribeiro
Umberger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
2
Ribeiro
Umberger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
50.9% (387)
-8.0%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
49.8% (251)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
46.6% (58)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Umberger
Home
44.1% (3,144)
52.3% (365)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Ribeiro
Umberger
P1
42.6%
50.0%
P2
44.3%
49.3%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |