Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs Koivu 50.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 54.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 91.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Ribeiro
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ribeiro
Koivu
Last 6: Ribeiro 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
1
Ribeiro
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
50.4% (912)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
59.1% (44)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
46.8% (111)
-46.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Ribeiro shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Koivu
Home
45.2% (504)
51.5% (610)
Away
40.9% (399)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Ribeiro
Koivu
P1
42.7%
48.5%
P2
45.3%
51.5%
P3
43.0%
51.1%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 18, 2013 | OT | 03:08 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |