Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 29 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Koivu 51.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 28-25 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 82.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 60.2%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 64.6%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Ribeiro
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
28
(53 meetings)
25
28
Ribeiro
Koivu
Last 10: Ribeiro 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
18
11
Ribeiro
Koivu
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
9
Ribeiro
Koivu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
8
Ribeiro
Koivu
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
51.9% (3,221)
-9.0%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
59.3% (437)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
48.0% (764)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Koivu
Home
44.1% (3,144)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Ribeiro
Koivu
P1
42.6%
51.1%
P2
44.3%
52.6%
P3
41.8%
51.8%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 18, 2013 | OT | 03:08 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |