Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 72.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 77.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 61.1%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Ribeiro
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Ribeiro
Stamkos
Last 10: Ribeiro 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
7
Ribeiro
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
8
6
Ribeiro
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ribeiro
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
50.4% (9,799)
-7.5%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
55.1% (1,725)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
49.7% (825)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Stamkos
Home
44.1% (3,144)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Ribeiro
Stamkos
P1
42.6%
49.1%
P2
44.3%
52.7%
P3
41.8%
50.9%
OT
49.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2015 | OT | 04:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |