Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.6% vs Seguin 53.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 88.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 78.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Ribeiro
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Ribeiro
Seguin
Last 9: Ribeiro 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Ribeiro
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
4
0
Ribeiro
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (1,121)
53.9% (482)
-11.2%
Power Play
46.2% (221)
35.3% (17)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
75.0% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ribeiro is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Ribeiro shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Seguin
Home
44.9% (710)
58.9% (231)
Away
41.2% (638)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Ribeiro
Seguin
P1
43.8%
51.5%
P2
44.6%
48.5%
P3
40.3%
61.7%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |