Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 83.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 85.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Ribeiro
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Ribeiro
Seguin
Last 10: Ribeiro 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
2
Ribeiro
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
4
3
Ribeiro
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
2
Ribeiro
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
53.7% (8,071)
-10.8%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
55.9% (810)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
49.3% (762)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Seguin
Home
44.1% (3,144)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Ribeiro
Seguin
P1
42.6%
52.8%
P2
44.3%
53.3%
P3
41.8%
54.7%
OT
49.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |