Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.6% vs Smith 46.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 75.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 74.4%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 56.1%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Ribeiro
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Ribeiro
Smith
Last 10: Ribeiro 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
1
Ribeiro
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Ribeiro
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
Ribeiro
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (1,121)
44.7% (190)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.2% (221)
40.0% (10)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.2% (31)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Ribeiro shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Smith
Home
44.9% (710)
46.8% (111)
Away
41.2% (638)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Ribeiro
Smith
P1
43.8%
44.6%
P2
44.6%
43.6%
P3
40.3%
46.2%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |