Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 82.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 67.7%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Ribeiro
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
24
(43 meetings)
19
24
Ribeiro
Smith
Last 10: Ribeiro 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Ribeiro
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Ribeiro
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
9
14
Ribeiro
Smith
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
51.6% (5,265)
-8.7%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
51.2% (342)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
45.3% (985)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Smith
Home
44.1% (3,144)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Ribeiro
Smith
P1
42.6%
49.9%
P2
44.3%
50.0%
P3
41.8%
51.9%
OT
49.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |