Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adam wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Richards 50.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Adam leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 67.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 81.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 69.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Adam
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Adam
Richards
Last 10: Adam 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
3
1
Adam
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adam
2
0
Adam
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Adam
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
50.0% (776)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
50.0% (130)
-2.0%
On even strength, Richards has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Adam shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Adam
Richards
Home
47.6% (126)
47.2% (549)
Away
40.6% (133)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Adam
Richards
P1
47.8%
52.5%
P2
35.8%
50.9%
P3
47.7%
47.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Adam |