Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Richards 53.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 72.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 72.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Duchene
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Duchene
Richards
Last 6: Duchene 1-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Duchene
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Duchene
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Duchene
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
53.2% (752)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
56.5% (85)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
58.6% (70)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Duchene
Richards
Home
51.9% (534)
57.0% (444)
Away
48.7% (524)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Duchene
Richards
P1
51.0%
53.4%
P2
48.8%
55.8%
P3
50.6%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2013 | OT | 01:14 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Mike Richards |