Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Antropov 45.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 69.9%
Defensive zone
Antropov 65.5%
Neutral zone
Antropov 63.6%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Richards
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Richards
Antropov
Last 9: Richards 3-6 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
3
Richards
Antropov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
2
Richards
Antropov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Antropov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
45.7% (1,209)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
45.5% (191)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
39.0% (77)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Richards
Antropov
Home
50.8% (2,363)
48.0% (704)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Richards
Antropov
P1
49.6%
42.8%
P2
52.3%
47.0%
P3
49.3%
45.6%
OT
58.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |