Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Stastny 53.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Richards
Stastny
Last 9: Richards 9-0 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
5
0
Richards
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (943)
52.2% (1,107)
-4.3%
Power Play
61.1% (157)
61.0% (254)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (102)
46.4% (138)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
50.9% (617)
52.5% (785)
Away
48.7% (599)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
45.4%
51.3%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
51.3%
52.6%
OT
55.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |