Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 31-23 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 66.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 74.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
23
(54 meetings)
31
23
Richards
Stastny
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
12
8
Richards
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
8
7
Richards
Stastny
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
11
8
Richards
Stastny
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
52.9% (1,119)
-1.5%
On even strength, Stastny has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
50.8% (2,363)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
49.6%
56.3%
P2
52.3%
55.4%
P3
49.3%
53.5%
OT
58.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 11, 2013 | OT | 02:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Mike Richards |