Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 71.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 72.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 71.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Richards
Stastny
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
3
Richards
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
5
Richards
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Richards
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
55.0% (1,136)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
57.5% (200)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
53.1% (64)
+1.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
47.2% (549)
58.5% (744)
Away
54.1% (518)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
52.5%
57.9%
P2
50.9%
54.9%
P3
47.5%
53.0%
OT
59.1%
72.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |