Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Stastny 57.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 59.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 60.7%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Stastny
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Richards
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
57.6% (959)
-8.1%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
60.8% (125)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
58.1% (74)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
47.9% (292)
55.9% (590)
Away
49.5% (301)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
46.0%
59.6%
P2
52.0%
59.0%
P3
48.1%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Mike Richards |