Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Nash 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 57.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 54.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Richards
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Nash
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Richards
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Richards
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
50.1% (752)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
53.8% (104)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
53.9% (102)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Richards shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Richards
Nash
Home
47.9% (292)
51.0% (502)
Away
49.5% (301)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Richards
Nash
P1
46.0%
49.4%
P2
52.0%
50.9%
P3
48.1%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |