Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Richards
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Richards
Nash
Last 9: Richards 4-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Richards
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
51.0% (249)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
44.9% (550)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Richards
Nash
Home
50.8% (2,363)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Richards
Nash
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
52.3%
47.9%
P3
49.3%
48.0%
OT
58.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mike Richards |