Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Koivu 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 55.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 70.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Richards
Koivu
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Richards
Koivu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
52.5% (631)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
49.3% (73)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
47.6% (147)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
52.3% (214)
51.3% (431)
Away
45.8% (227)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
47.3%
51.9%
P2
53.2%
52.9%
P3
46.3%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 00:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |