Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 33-32 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 66.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
33
(65 meetings)
32
33
Richards
Koivu
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
18
7
Richards
Koivu
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
12
Richards
Koivu
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
14
Richards
Koivu
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
59.3% (437)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
48.0% (764)
+3.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
50.8% (2,363)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
49.6%
51.1%
P2
52.3%
52.6%
P3
49.3%
51.8%
OT
58.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 00:35 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |