Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Gagner 47.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 68.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 87.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 71.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Richards
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Richards
Gagner
Last 9: Richards 7-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Richards
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
47.6% (599)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
47.7% (86)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
60.0% (5)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richards is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Richards shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Richards
Gagner
Home
47.2% (549)
49.5% (331)
Away
54.1% (518)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Richards
Gagner
P1
52.5%
47.7%
P2
50.9%
43.9%
P3
47.5%
51.8%
OT
59.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |